So after all the bombing, the embargo and the turmoil, this is what we are left with. It appears we’re back to square one where oil cargo is able to obtain ingress and egress through the Strait of Hormuz, and the American embargo on Iran will be lifted. At least that is what the sketchy reports are from some media outlets.
The prime reason for initiating the conflict with Iran was to rid them of any potential to make a nuclear bomb, including a demand that the remaining nuclear dust within the nation be removed. That has not been accomplished. At least at this point.
So this venture continues to be scored as an incomplete.
We at first were fearful that this bad deal had the potential to be an atrocious deal on par with the Obama catastrophe, otherwise known as JCPOA back in 2015. That’s where Obama gave the Iranians billions of dollars upfront without insisting upon graduating payments tied to certain thresholds being met. The deal was an otherwise disaster due to its 10-year time limit, after which Iran could militarize the nuclear dust that it created because Obama‘s deal did not ban them from using centrifuges to weaponize the materials.
Even Obama himself admitted in an interview that, upon the expiration of his deal (which would already have passed), the Iranians would be able to immediately build a nuclear bomb.
Trump’s deal is nowhere as bad as that because it appears he’s not giving the Iranians money at this point. Paying Iran for simply promising not to blow up ships in the strait would be an utter disaster, which would reward the terrorist and eviscerate U.S. credibility.
We thought that might happen, but thankfully that’s not part of the deal.
Unfortunately, they will rake in the bucks from the resumption of their oil exports.
But the question remains what will happen 30 days from now when the Iranians most assuredly will not agree to allowing the U.S., the UN or any foreign entity to remove its nuclear dust. We will be right back where we started from, with the prospect of the U.S. dropping bombs once again.
But that will be more difficult due to this two-month delay that President Trump acquiesced to, in part because internal midterm American politics will make such attacks less likely, and in part because we would’ve also given the Iranians time to rebuild the conventional armaments they had prior to the bombardment months ago.
One of the worst byproducts of this two-month song and dance over cease-fires and threats to annihilate Iran without any further action taken is that we forced Israel to the sidelines. Israel was gung ho and ready to go to continue to take out Iranian leadership and to make them suffer.
Israel sees Iran as the existential threat that it is. They’re not concerned about the short-term sacrifice that would come from a war because they know that the nine million inhabitants of the Jewish state would be wiped out in a nanosecond once the Iranians obtained a nuclear weapon.
President Trump was smart enough to understand that it’s Iran with a nuclear bomb, not climate change, that is the true existential threat to America. And if anyone in New York City doubts this, they are fools because they are the No.1 target, along with Tel Aviv.
Trump deserved credit for doing what other presidents would not, and that is to use our military to decapitate the Iranians’ ability to construct and use a bomb against us.
But it looks like the president withered from internal political pressure and his short-term concerns over oil and stock prices.
This deal may send stocks soaring in the short term, but that will dissipate when this discussion period ends and no agreement has been made to remove Iran’s nuclear dust.
At that point, they’ll be one of two decisions to make. The first is to capitulate, declare victory and allow the Iranian regime to remain intact and able to go back to making oil money and rebuilding its armaments.
The second choice will be to take out their bridges, power generation and infrastructure, thereby keeping them on the defensive so they can’t even think about anything other than pure survival. Creating that chaos within the country is exactly what is needed to light the spark that could lead to an internal upheaval.
So Trump will tout this as the greatest deal ever and Democrats and their friends in the media will call it a capitulation. We call it a bad deal that thankfully was not much worse.
We are relieved that money will not be going to Iran without the benchmarks that we insist upon.
But if anyone is thinking that in 30 days there’s going to be an agreement to remove Iran’s nuclear dust, we have a bridge to sell them.